Ovum Report: Smartphone Shipments To Hit 1.7 B In 2017

September 23, 2012

Ovum, an independent telecoms analyst firm predicts that smartphones shipped globally will hit 1.7 billion in 2017, with emerging markets seeing particularly strong growth and currently, the global population is now more than 7 billion people. Ovum report which I read last night, finds that 450 million smartphones were sold last year of which around 160 million were sold in emerging markets regions of Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Asia.China alone accounted for about 66% of smartphones sold in emerging markets, and Ovum estimates that smartphone shipments could reach nearly 57% of total devices sold in emerging markets by 2017. China is at the centre of smartphone development and adoption in emerging markets, with the whole ecosystem increasingly geared toward the production of ever-more feature-rich affordable devices.The report claims that a new wave of affordable smartphones will have a major impact on consumer choice in emerging markets.Smartphones have become cheaper, and a nascent entry-level segment is taking shape in the sub-US$100 price band. However, affordability remains a big issue in most emerging markets especially sub Saharan Africa. 

While reading the report, I learned that operator subsidies for smartphones are not common in emerging markets and this has hampered smartphone adoption.Major chipset and platform vendors such as Mediatek and Qualcomm are having a significant impact on both smartphone availability and affordability by offering reference designs to their device OEM partners and reducing barriers to entry.While much of this development is occurring in China, local brands from other emerging markets are also adopting this model and are expected to show strong growth with India and Indonesia leading followed by Brazil and Russia. China is driving smartphone adoption and development among emerging markets, many Chinese adjacent players are aiming to leverage the opportunity that smartphones offer in terms of extending their online mobile services.Virtually all of these players are using Android, but some of them are going a step further and customizing Android to offer their own user interfaces, icons, and services, essentially replacing Google in the process.The report also shows how Vendos are launching new phones and innovating on the distribution side, with companies successfully focusing on online sales and services.

The growth of smartphones in emerging markets will see a corresponding growth in online services such as cloud, storage, and purchasing based on mobile money transactions and OEMs and equipment vendors will also increase their presence in online services.Mobile operators seeking to gain a slice of the growth in low-cost smartphones in emerging markets through white labeled devices will struggle to gain traction in the market and achieve the same success as the more established brands.

Contador Harrison